I wrote this about 10 years ago but never finished it. In light of recent discussions, however, I thought it might be of interest to some readers. Please do not cite without my permission. Jewish_Hearsay_Evidence_v1.0_DRAFT_1
He doesn’t mention by name, of course, and may not have even had my argument in mind, but the sort of Bayesian considerations he raises support my Bayesian argument from scale, in two ways. First, he agrees with me about the “direction” the evidence points (against theism). Second, he agrees with me about the “magnitude” … William Lane Craig Endorses My Argument from Scale against Theism!
Note: So far as I know, no one working in New Testament scholarship, apologetics, counter-apologetics, or ancient history is applying the concepts in this blog post. As will soon become obvious, most of the ideas in this blog post are not mine, but if other people find these techniques useful, I would appreciate being given credit for the … How to Think about Historical Evidence about Anything, Part 1: The Credibility of Testimony